Sunday, November 15

What Is the Networth of South Africa? GDP, Wealth and Assets

Cape Town skyline illustrating what is the networth of South Africa as a national economy

People who ask what is the networth of South Africa usually mean either the size of its economy or the total wealth held by the country and its people. Neither has a single official figure, but the economy’s output (GDP) has been in the region of $350 to $400 billion a year recently, and private wealth in the country has been estimated in the hundreds of billions of dollars by research firms.

Why “net worth” is a tricky concept for a country

For a person or company, net worth is assets minus liabilities. A country has assets, such as land, infrastructure, minerals, buildings, businesses and financial holdings, as well as liabilities, such as government debt. In principle, you could total them, but most of the assets are never priced because they are not sold. Economists therefore use several different measures instead.

Measure 1: GDP

Gross domestic product is the value of goods and services produced in a year. It is not net worth, but it is the figure most people cite. South Africa is the most industrialized economy in Africa, with a population of roughly 60 million people. The World Bank and the IMF publish current GDP in dollars, and the figure moves with the exchange rate. When the rand weakens, dollar GDP falls even if the economy grows in rand terms.

Measure 2: Household and private wealth

Research firms such as Allianz, UBS and Credit Suisse (now part of UBS) publish global wealth reports that estimate the total net worth of households. These studies generally put South African private wealth in the hundreds of billions of dollars, with high inequality: a small share of the population holds a large share of assets. Because each report uses different data and methods, the numbers vary.

Measure 3: Natural resources

South Africa holds large reserves of platinum group metals, gold, manganese, chromium and coal, and is one of the world’s top producers of several of these. Mineral reserves have value, but it depends on commodity prices and extraction costs, so any estimate is a moving target.

Measure 4: Government balance sheet

Public debt is a liability. National Treasury reports publish the government’s debt, which has been above 70% of GDP in recent years, according to its budget documents. You can find the official data at National Treasury and the South African Reserve Bank. A country can have large debt and large assets at the same time, which is why debt alone does not equal a negative net worth.

Comparing the measures

Measure What it shows Where to find it
GDP Annual output of the economy World Bank, IMF, Stats SA
Private wealth What households own, minus debts Allianz, UBS reports
Public debt What the government owes National Treasury, SARB
Natural resources Mineral reserve value Geological surveys, industry data

What is the networth of South Africa compared with other countries?

In Africa, the country ranks among the largest economies alongside Nigeria and Egypt, depending on the year and exchange rates. Globally, it is a middle-sized economy, much smaller than the United States, China or Germany. Per-person measures give a more balanced comparison than totals, because population sizes differ so much.

Things that move the figures

  • Exchange-rate changes between the rand and the dollar
  • Commodity prices, particularly for metals
  • Electricity supply, which has been a constraint on growth in recent years
  • Unemployment, which has been very high and affects household wealth
  • Government borrowing costs

How to find a current number

  1. Decide what you actually mean: output, private wealth or public finances.
  2. Go to the primary source, such as the World Bank’s data pages or Statistics South Africa.
  3. Note the date and the currency, and whether the figure is nominal or adjusted.
  4. Be wary of sites that give a single “net worth of the country” figure without any explanation.

Wealth and inequality

South Africa is often cited as one of the most unequal countries in the world, based on measures such as the Gini coefficient from the World Bank. That means the national total hides very different realities. A small group holds a large part of private wealth, while many households have little savings and high unemployment. When someone asks about the networth of South Africa, it is therefore worth asking whose wealth, and how it is distributed, not only how big it is in total.

The role of pensions

Pension and retirement funds are a large pool of national savings. They hold shares, bonds and property in South Africa and abroad, and their values move with markets. They are part of private wealth, but not available to the public as a whole.

Bottom line

So, what is the networth of South Africa? There is no official single figure, but you can describe it through GDP of roughly $400 billion, private household wealth in the hundreds of billions, a sizeable public debt and a large base of mineral resources. All of these are estimates and change with markets and exchange rates.

This is general information, not financial advice.

Related reading

Photo: Ryanj93, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Photo of invisionfree