Monday, November 2

What Monthly Active Users Really Tell You

Monthly active users are a headline number with gaps. Here is what MAU measures, what it hides, and how to judge a consumer app.

monthly active users: students studying together at a library table
Photo: University of Texas at Arlington Photograph Collection via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY 4.0)

“Fifty million monthly users” sounds like a clear measure of success. It is a big number, and monthly active users do tell you something real. But it leaves out almost everything you would want to know before judging whether a consumer product is healthy or what it might be worth.

When a learning or study app announces a milestone, the figure is a starting point for questions. This article explains what monthly active users measure, what they hide, and how outsiders usually think about the value of a consumer software business.

What monthly active users measure

A monthly active user, or MAU, is someone who did something in the product at least once in a month. The word “something” varies between companies. It might mean logging in, opening the app, or finishing a task. Two firms can report the same number of monthly active users and mean very different things.

monthly active users: students studying together at a library table
Photo: University of Texas at Arlington Photograph Collection via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY 4.0)

The metric is popular because it smooths out daily noise. Study tools in particular rise and fall with school calendars, exams and holidays, so a daily count jumps around. A monthly count gives a steadier picture, though a single figure can still hide a seasonal pattern.

Questions monthly active users cannot answer

Start with frequency. A person who visits once a month and one who visits daily are counted the same. The ratio of daily to monthly users shows stickiness, if the company shares it. Our piece on why daily active users matter goes deeper on that point.

Next, who the users are. Students, teachers, parents and adults learning a language have different willingness to pay. Then where they come from: search engines, friends, school assignments or paid ads. Free, organic sources are usually healthier than bought traffic.

Finally, how many pay, and whether they are logged in. Free users have costs and bring ad income at best, so a smaller base with strong subscriptions can be worth more than a huge free one. Anonymous visitors are also harder to convert and to count accurately.

From monthly active users to value

Nobody can calculate what a private company is worth from users alone. Valuation is a negotiation shaped by growth, revenue, profit, market conditions and what similar firms have fetched. Still, there is a common way to reason about it, and our explainer on how startup valuation is set covers the wider picture.

First look at revenue per user. Divide yearly revenue by average monthly active users and you get a rough figure showing how well the business turns attention into money. Then ask how fast revenue is growing and how reliable it is. Subscriptions that renew are valued more than one-off sales. Advertising depends on traffic and can swing.

Finally, consider the competitive position. Is there a content library, a community or a brand schools trust that others cannot copy quickly? Those things make users harder to lure away.

Be careful with any online figure claiming to say exactly what a company is worth. Unless it comes from a deal or a filing, it is an estimate, and often a loose one.

Why free tiers complicate the count

Many consumer apps use a free tier to grow and a paid tier to earn. The art is choosing what stays free. If the free version is too generous, few upgrade. If it is too stingy, people leave before they see the value.

Study apps often keep core features free and charge for extras that save time or remove limits. That works when the paid features fix a real frustration that appears after someone is already hooked. It fails when upgrade prompts feel like punishment. For a closer look at how money works in that sector, see seed funding for an edtech startup.

It also means a headline total of monthly active users can mix very different people: a loyal subscriber studying every night and a student who opened the app once because a teacher asked. Both count as one.

How to read a milestone announcement

Next time a company celebrates a user count, run through a few quick checks. Is it monthly, daily, or total registered accounts? The last is the weakest measure. What is the time frame, and has the company defined “active”? Is there any mention of revenue, retention or paying customers? Is the figure from the company, an independent source, or a third-party estimate? Is growth steady, or tied to a single event?

Most announcements will not answer all of these, and that is fine. The gaps tell you what to be careful about.

If you are building a product, track the numbers that predict health early: what share of new users come back in the second week, how many reach a core action, and what percentage pay. They guide you better than total reach, and the freemium model that many apps use makes them even more important.

If you are a curious reader, treat a big number as evidence of interest, not proof of quality. Monthly active users show that many people tried something. They do not show that people loved it or that the business behind it is sound. The strongest products show both, and the way to tell is to look past the headline to the habits underneath it.